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From opulence to crisis
When one actually takes the time to analyse the current situation, it
is surprising to note how much our minds are eager to focus on the
present and the future without actually looking to understand what
mistakes we made and why we didn’t see the crisis coming.
In giving my report the title “From opulence to crisis”, I took
inspiration from two books written by the economist John Kenneth
Galbraith (1908-2006) and simply inverted his chronology given that he
published “The 1929 crisis” in 1951 and “The Era of Opulence” in 1961.
Although many may have preferred Milton Friedman (1912-2006), Galbraith
has suddenly come back into fashion.
I would like to point out that the deep crisis of 1929 was followed by
a period of opulence and that economies tend to be subject to balancing
forces. Brilliant economists will write in a few years’ time about the
crisis we are currently going through - a crisis which the media tells
us over and over again is the worst the modern world has ever
experienced.
We don’t know anything for certain and it is reasonable to suggest that
many a theory constructed today will be disproved tomorrow.
We do not know how long it will take for the world economy to recover
and for its indispensable driving force, namely trust, to be restored.
It is essential that we ready ourselves for the new beginning that our
companies will see coming before other sectors. Isn’t this the
privilege of an industry whose role is to prepare raw materials?
We did not see this crisis coming, but we shouldn’t blame ourselves
because nobody else saw it coming either. Our modern world seemed to be
enjoying a magnificent era, with an average annual growth rate of 5%
for five straight years! Markets appeared insatiable, monetary reserves
climbed to levels never seen before, and the world’s population became
greedy for progress and consumption. This was the era of opulence.
We did not know and could not have anticipated that part of this
economic growth had been created in a virtual manner.
Today’s awakening has been brutal. And while we are all suffering from
a hangover, worry is often one step ahead of reason. It is now that we
need to question our convictions and assess our ability to react,
organise and develop because our businesses will be in the vanguard of
the economic upswing.
Two years as President of our organisation has strengthened me in my
belief that we possess the instruments and means to prepare a more
solid future for our companies - on condition that we understand the
need to build our future together.
First of all, we must bear in mind that cycles change; many times
during recent years, we had mentioned the potential for markets to
decline when everything seemed to be going too well and, more
particularly, growing too fast. But sometimes, we didn’t want to
acknowledge those first signs: credit notes that were more difficult to
negotiate, less encouraging financial information from consuming
industries, etc.
Reinforcement of ethical rules and those of good governance should not
be the sole prerogative of the larger financial or industrial
organisations. We should have the same preoccupations and force
ourselves to adopt criteria adapted to the size of our companies. We
should also reinforce our professionalism by enhancing: the quality of
our products; our respect for the environment; and the training and
safety of our employees.
The raw materials that we produce should correspond to contractual
agreements - precisely and in accordance with material standards of
which we should promote the implementation and use by all operators
within our industry. This matter concerns all of us.
We should also redouble our vigilance and our efforts in support of
free trade given that the current crisis may lead to protectionist
behaviour by certain states. Our recently-created International Trade
Council is the ideal vehicle for addressing these issues and was
created for this very reason.
The imminent publication of the study commissioned and validated by us
on carbon dioxide emission savings achieved through recycling proves
the importance of our activities from an environmental perspective
which, when combined with economic criteria, form the basis for the
future of companies in our sector. Soon, we should also publish
statistics relating to some of the larger countries of the world which
will confirm the importance of our activities to the global economy and
also their perfect alignment with sustainable development.
It will not surprise you to learn that, during these times of crisis,
our world organisation has ceaselessly continued on its mission to
represent the interests of the recycling industry in dealings with
international institutions.
Our European associations - EFR, EUROMETREC and ERPA - fulfil their
role perfectly with the EU authorities, while our relationship with
ISRI is also very important and enables the real-time follow-up of
issues of interest to our American colleagues. Our meetings bring
together professionals and are particularly important during this
period for exchanging and challenging ideas; but above all, these
gatherings enable us to produce comprehensive analyses that truly
reflect all the latest developments impacting on our sector. Whatever
the size of a company, it lives off its market and needs to understand
every relevant international issue so as to ensure its development.
This justifies your personal involvement in the life of our
organisation.
BIR draws its membership from more than 70 countries in the form of
national federations and almost 800 directly-affiliated companies. It
is the only world organisation that can claim to help you - thanks to
its twice-yearly Conventions - to understand the needs of your business
and to anticipate developments that will affect your activities, while
at the same time fostering business contacts between members.
The opinions we express have earned the reputation of being the voice
of our profession. Therefore, it is vital that you maintain an on-going
and trustful relationship with those who you have mandated to
represent you. Do not hesitate to submit questions or to contribute on
any topic.
During the past couple of years, we have appointed new Presidents and
Chairmen of our divisions and committees: passion, perseverance and
devotion are the words that best describe their approach to this task.
I am proud to be able to count on a team that is both motivated and
available - even in difficult times. I would like to thank them all for
their commitment.
We also have an excellent team of permanent staff at our offices in
Brussels. They are exposed to many challenges and their determination
is vital with regard to our capacity to respond to all the requests
coming from our national federations and from individual members. I
would like to thank them for their work and their loyalty. It is rare
to have the chance to work with so many talented people who are fuelled
by so much conviction.
It is with great pleasure that I look forward to seeing you in May at
our 2009 World Recycling Convention in Dubai.
Dominique Maguin. BIR President
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